How the Dividend Payout Ratio Can Guide Your Stock Selection

How the Dividend Payout Ratio Can Guide Your Stock Selection

### What is the Dividend Payout Ratio?

#### Understanding the Dividend Payout Ratio

I recently went through an article in Money Magazine titled “When the Wilder Ride is Worth It”, which discussed how sometimes, a company’s stock and its dividend payments can offer more stable income compared to its bonds. The article compared bond returns against the appeal of dividends, factoring in the payout ratio and inherent stock risks associated with the company.

When it comes to semi-guaranteed income articles like this, I pay special attention. Using strategies such as capitalizing on dividend payouts is crucial for my financial plan, particularly to achieve early retirement. Traditional retirement accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs aren’t accessible until you’re 59-1/2. If you aim to retire earlier, you need something to bridge that gap. This is where a strong taxable portfolio, especially one with high-paying dividend stocks, plays a role in maintaining a stable income without dipping into the principal.

Now, back to the article, the key question is: how do we decide what makes a good prospect for a stable dividend stock? One fundamental metric is the dividend payout ratio.

#### The Value of This Ratio

The dividend payout ratio is a simple yet powerful way to evaluate stocks and their dividend payments. It shows the percentage of earnings a company pays out to its shareholders in dividends:

\[ \text{Dividend Payout Ratio} = \left( \frac{\text{Dividends Paid}}{\text{Net Income}} \right) \times 100 \]

In simpler terms, it indicates how much of the company’s earnings are given away as dividends. You can usually find this statistic on any financial media site, such as Yahoo Finance.

#### Never Look at Just One Ratio

While the article rightly points out that the payout ratio can hint at future dividend growth potential, you need to delve deeper for a clearer perspective. For instance, Verizon Communications (VZ) has an astonishingly high dividend payout ratio of 508%. Does this mean it’s paying out five times its earnings in dividends? Not exactly. Context matters:

Verizon and AT&T (T) are better apples-to-apples comparisons than pairing Verizon with McDonald’s (MCD) or Pitney Bowes (PBI). AT&T’s seemingly high payout ratio of 141% needs context. If you look closely, their expected earnings per share (EPS) of $2.52 with a dividend payment of $1.80 brings the payout ratio down to about 82%, aligning more closely with Verizon.

Blindly following the payout ratio without context might tempt someone to compare stocks across different industries, which isn’t the best approach.

#### Final Thoughts

Collecting stock metrics is valuable, but remember to go beyond the surface. A holistic view, integrating several key metrics, provides a clearer picture of a company’s direction. Merely taking one ratio at face value could mislead you or make you miss out on great opportunities.

Fellow investors, do you consider the dividend payout ratio in your decisions? Do you think building a solid income portfolio is crucial for your investment strategy?

Disclaimer: I own shares of MCD, T, VZ, and PBI.